Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | MOST +150 DRKE -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MOST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +7 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | DRKE -6.4 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.9 (-24.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -5.3 (-1.7) | 149.4 (-20.4) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -4.5 (-2.5) | 142.4 (-13.4) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -4.4 (-2.6) | 147.4 (-18.4) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -3.8 (-3.2) | 147.1 (-18.1) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2025 | DRKE 68 – 60 MOST |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DRKE 69 – 62 MOST |
| Jan 25, 2024 | MOST 83 – 80 DRKE |
| Dec 2, 2023 | DRKE 74 – 57 MOST |
| Jan 19, 2023 | MOST 65 – 62 DRKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MOST | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-7 | 26-5 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 15-3 |
| Home | 9-4 | 14-1 |
| Away | 7-2 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 64.8 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#82) | 15.6 (#15) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.51 (#74) | 3.51 (#8) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#88) | 4.59 (#8) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#95) | 0.569 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MOST | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.3% | 52.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 43.5% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.8% | 59.6% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 21.9% | 36.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 77.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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