Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | LIU -250 MRMK +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +5 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | LIU -12.2 (-17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -9.6 (-14.6) | 141.5 (-10.5) | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -9.2 (-14.2) | 141.3 (-10.3) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -8.8 (-13.8) | 141.7 (-10.7) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -9.8 (-14.8) | 141.2 (-10.2) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2024 | MRMK 72 – 66 LIU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | MRMK 83 – 68 LIU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MRMK 82 – 79 LIU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | MRMK 91 – 76 LIU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | MRMK 80 – 59 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-3 | 6-3 |
| Away | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#134) | -7.7 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#122) | -0.60 (#217) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#110) | -0.82 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#158) | 0.396 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 27.4% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 21.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.2% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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