Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | JMU -125 TOW +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +15 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | JMU -7.9 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -5.5 (+9.5) | 143.1 (-2.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -6.6 (+8.4) | 145.9 (-4.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -6.2 (+8.8) | 147.2 (-6.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -5.6 (+9.4) | 146.2 (-5.2) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2025 | JMU 81 – 75 TOW |
| Nov 17, 2024 | TOW 67 – 63 JMU |
| Feb 26, 2022 | TOW 95 – 59 JMU |
| Feb 24, 2022 | TOW 84 – 65 JMU |
| Jan 16, 2021 | JMU 81 – 72 TOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-7 | 4-14 |
| Conference | 8-2 | 3-9 |
| Home | 10-4 | 4-4 |
| Away | 3-3 | 0-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#163) | -5.5 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#177) | -0.77 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#183) | -1.12 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#147) | 0.452 (#242) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 26.1% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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