Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | CIT +350 WOF -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIT +8 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -6.7 (+14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.8 (-22.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -5.8 (+13.8) | 157.1 (-11.1) | 28% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -4.1 (+12.1) | 153.8 (-7.8) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -4.4 (+12.4) | 152.7 (-6.7) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -4.9 (+12.9) | 157.2 (-11.2) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CIT 93 – 90 WOF |
| Jan 3, 2026 | WOF 95 – 86 CIT |
| Feb 13, 2025 | WOF 74 – 71 CIT |
| Jan 23, 2025 | WOF 79 – 68 CIT |
| Feb 11, 2024 | WOF 77 – 64 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-12 | 15-9 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 12-5 |
| Home | 11-3 | 9-3 |
| Away | 1-8 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.3 | 70.0 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#231) | 5.1 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#200) | 1.35 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#215) | 1.62 (#86) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#221) | 0.584 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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