Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | SLU -400 DAY +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +5 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | SLU -14.4 (-19.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (+7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -12.0 (-17.0) | 139.4 (+7.6) | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -11.7 (-16.7) | 134.6 (+12.4) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -10.3 (-15.3) | 139.7 (+7.3) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -10.1 (-15.1) | 140.9 (+6.1) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | DAY 70 – 69 SLU |
| Feb 25, 2026 | DAY 77 – 62 SLU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | SLU 102 – 71 DAY |
| Mar 5, 2025 | DAY 75 – 67 SLU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | DAY 71 – 63 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-7 | 14-10 |
| Conference | 6-4 | 9-7 |
| Home | 12-1 | 8-3 |
| Away | 1-4 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 14.8 (#18) | 3.0 (#121) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.42 (#32) | 0.94 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.28 (#29) | 1.95 (#74) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#60) | 0.531 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.0% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 41.0% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.8% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 37.4% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.9% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 14.9% |
Game Analysis
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