Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | OSU -300 PSU +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +4 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -6.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.2 (+8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -7.4 (-3.4) | 150.0 (+12.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -5.8 (-1.8) | 147.7 (+14.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -6.8 (-2.8) | 150.3 (+11.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -6.9 (-2.9) | 150.3 (+11.7) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | OSU 94 – 62 PSU |
| Jan 27, 2026 | OSU 84 – 78 PSU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | OSU 83 – 64 PSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | OSU 79 – 67 PSU |
| Dec 9, 2023 | PSU 83 – 80 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-10 | 11-14 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 7-12 |
| Home | 10-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 7-4 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 15.2 (#17) | 11.2 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.84 (#17) | 1.75 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.33 (#11) | 2.82 (#43) |
| RPI | 0.620 (#16) | 0.566 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 30.7% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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