Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | CLEM -110 LOU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +4 | 104 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -2.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.0 (-23.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -2.8 (+1.2) | 132.8 (-28.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -1.5 (+2.5) | 128.6 (-24.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -3.2 (+0.8) | 131.9 (-27.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -3.1 (+0.9) | 133.4 (-29.4) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CLEM 80 – 75 LOU |
| Mar 15, 2025 | LOU 76 – 73 CLEM |
| Jan 8, 2025 | LOU 74 – 64 CLEM |
| Jan 31, 2024 | CLEM 70 – 64 LOU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | LOU 83 – 73 CLEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | LOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-8 | 13-7 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 8-5 |
| Home | 11-1 | 9-2 |
| Away | 2-5 | 4-4 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.9 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 9.2 (#58) | 9.8 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.62 (#23) | 2.42 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.46 (#23) | 2.86 (#42) |
| RPI | 0.621 (#15) | 0.619 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | LOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.1% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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