Betting Lines
| Spread | VMI -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | VMI +100 WCU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VMI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VMI +26 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | VMI -4.7 (+21.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.7 (-19.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VMI -3.9 (+22.1) | 160.3 (-12.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VMI -3.3 (+22.7) | 156.0 (-8.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VMI -4.6 (+21.4) | 159.6 (-11.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VMI -4.0 (+22.0) | 160.6 (-12.6) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | WCU 81 – 62 VMI |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WCU 88 – 58 VMI |
| Feb 1, 2025 | VMI 80 – 76 WCU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | VMI 66 – 50 WCU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | WCU 84 – 51 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VMI | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-12 | 11-16 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 4-13 |
| Home | 11-1 | 6-5 |
| Away | 1-10 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 79.5 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#165) | -2.4 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#193) | -0.45 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#207) | -0.30 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#203) | 0.473 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VMI | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.7% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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