Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | USC -800 ORST +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +13 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | USC -16.8 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (-4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -14.5 (-1.5) | 144.0 (-7.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -13.6 (-0.6) | 140.7 (-3.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -14.2 (-1.2) | 143.7 (-6.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USC -14.5 (-1.5) | 142.9 (-5.9) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2024 | USC 82 – 54 ORST |
| Dec 31, 2023 | ORST 86 – 70 USC |
| Feb 11, 2023 | ORST 61 – 58 USC |
| Dec 5, 2022 | USC 63 – 62 ORST |
| Feb 25, 2022 | USC 94 – 91 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-2 | 10-6 |
| Away | 7-3 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.1 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 14.7 (#19) | 0.4 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#36) | 0.63 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.24 (#26) | 1.14 (#108) |
| RPI | 0.616 (#19) | 0.508 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 41.1 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.6% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.