Virgil Cain is my name and I served on the Danville train. "The Night They Drove Old Dixie Down"-The Band
← All models

Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
19–5 on winners spread MAE 10.0 44 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Rutgers +13.6 145.6 85% 75–96 ✓
Valparaiso @ Vanderbilt — — — 71–77 —
UC Irvine @ San Diego State +15.4 133.3 85% 58–77 ✓
Nicholls @ Idaho State -4.5 145.5 30% 70–51 ✓
Longwood @ Wake Forest — — — 60–71 —
UNC Greensboro @ Little Rock — — — 77–70 —
UT Arlington @ Louisiana Tech — — — 71–76 —
Eastern Illinois @ Marquette +16.2 147.5 87% 50–75 ✓
Hartford @ UConn — — — 57–69 —
Mercer @ Georgia Tech — — — 83–73 —
Colorado @ Kansas State -4.7 146.2 30% 76–58 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Wisconsin +13.5 144.6 86% 58–92 ✓
VCU @ Memphis +1.5 141.3 59% 70–59 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Omaha -9.1 136.5 21% 70–58 ✓
Belmont @ Queens University -3.1 145.3 34% 73–61 ✓
North Dakota State @ Nebraska +13.8 135.8 83% 57–79 ✓
South Carolina State @ Bowling Green +11.9 147.5 85% 78–101 ✓
Illinois State @ UMass Lowell +6.5 146.7 77% 82–72 ✗
VMI @ Penn State — — — 65–86 —
Drexel @ Pittsburgh — — — 74–83 —
UNC Wilmington @ Troy +4.0 140.3 68% 73–50 ✗
Coppin State @ Duke — — — 71–81 —
Southern Miss @ Jacksonville — — — 51–66 —
South Carolina Upstate @ Furman — — — 63–91 —
LSU @ Saint Louis +10.5 149.7 78% 81–85 ✓
UMBC @ Saint Francis +11.6 141.2 84% 80–65 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Navy -7.2 131.1 22% 67–73 ✗
George Mason @ Howard -5.8 143.9 28% 84–70 ✓
Buffalo @ Army +4.5 135.5 69% 74–78 ✓
SE Louisiana @ UAB +15.8 144.3 86% 59–84 ✓
Texas State @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi — — — 75–63 —
Air Force @ Cal State Northridge — — — 66–61 —
Northwestern State @ UT Arlington +1.1 143.7 54% 71–80 ✓
High Point @ Elon — — — 75–76 —
Mississippi Valley State @ Wyoming — — — 61–97 —
Idaho State @ UC Davis +1.5 139.2 56% 61–70 ✓
UTSA @ UT Rio Grande Valley — — — 64–81 —
Western Carolina @ UNC Asheville -7.3 143.5 23% 83–81 ✓
South Carolina @ Liberty — — — 62–78 —
Southeast Missouri State @ Kansas City — — — 71–66 —
Lipscomb @ Lamar — — — 76–73 —
Rhode Island @ South Florida — — — 84–68 —
Loyola Marymount @ Minnesota +15.4 153.7 88% 73–88 ✓
North Texas @ Arkansas +15.2 160.4 87% 54–69 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.