Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -37.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +34 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -22.5 (+11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -17.6 (+16.4) | 144.3 (+5.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -13.5 (+20.5) | 144.6 (+5.4) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 4-21 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 3-12 |
| Home | 11-5 | 2-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-17 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 62.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.6 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#121) | -8.8 (#180) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#76) | -0.46 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#68) | -0.75 (#146) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 27.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 15.0% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 18.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.29 | 0.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 29.5% |
| TOV% | 10.0% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 38.6% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.4% | 60.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 58.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 55.4% |
Game Analysis
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