Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -26.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | RUTG -6000 FDU +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +21 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | RUTG -18.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (+22.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -17.6 (+3.4) | 144.5 (+26.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -13.6 (+7.4) | 145.6 (+25.4) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-12 | 9-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-4 | 4-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#73) | -0.8 (#111) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#82) | -0.46 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#60) | -0.69 (#135) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 60.6% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 12.5% | 15.4% |
| REB / G | 46.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.56 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.4% | 41.3% |
| TOV% | 12.8% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 37.5% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 7.6% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.0% | 56.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 58.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 6.0% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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