Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | SLU -145 LSU +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +4 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -19.8 (-15.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (+13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -10.4 (-6.4) | 147.3 (+18.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -10.5 (-6.5) | 149.7 (+16.3) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-7 | 19-10 |
| Conference | 6-4 | 11-6 |
| Home | 12-1 | 11-2 |
| Away | 1-4 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 81.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#35) | 2.2 (#74) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#94) | 0.98 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#92) | 1.41 (#36) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 51.7% |
| 3PT% | 45.5% | 46.2% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 2.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 62.1% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 13.2% |
| ORB% | 40.0% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 37.7% | 37.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.9% | 62.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 33.7% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 78.8% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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