Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
| Money | UAB -4000 SELA +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +25 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -22.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -20.0 (+5.0) | 140.3 (+2.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -15.8 (+9.2) | 144.3 (-1.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2024 | UAB 82 – 72 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Massey | 11.2 (#7) | 3.8 (#59) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#66) | -0.46 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#49) | -0.56 (#117) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.4% | 30.3% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 3.6% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 22.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.6% | 30.9% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 43.1% |
| FT Rate | 53.4% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 32.5% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 31.3% | 38.6% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.3% | 40.9% |
Game Analysis
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