Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -26.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Over |
| Money | BGSU -10000 SCST +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +23 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | BGSU -27.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.5 (+23.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -13.5 (+9.5) | 148.4 (+30.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -11.9 (+11.1) | 147.5 (+31.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#98) | -11.8 (#187) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#133) | -1.82 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#130) | -2.64 (#182) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.1% | 30.0% |
| 3PT% | 41.4% | 21.9% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 34.4% |
| TOV% | 8.1% | 11.2% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 7.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 62.3% | 57.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 29.4% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 60.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.8% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
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