Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -15.0 Push |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | MINN -1600 LMU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +15 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -24.9 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.8 (+0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -18.4 (-3.4) | 152.4 (+8.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -15.4 (-0.4) | 153.7 (+7.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2020 | MINN 67 – 64 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-15 | 13-9 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 7-5 |
| Home | 13-4 | 8-3 |
| Away | 0-10 | 4-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 68.0 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#48) | -4.5 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#71) | 0.46 (#79) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#55) | 0.47 (#90) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 51.8% |
| 3PT% | 20.6% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 49.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 17.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 57.1% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 30.4% | 37.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.6% | 57.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.8% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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