Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -14.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | MINN -1600 LMU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +3 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -17.8 (-14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.8 (-29.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -12.9 (-9.9) | 153.7 (-22.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -10.3 (-7.3) | 147.0 (-16.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -14.4 (-11.4) | 154.3 (-23.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -13.5 (-10.5) | 153.8 (-22.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2020 | MINN 88 – 73 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-15 | 13-9 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 7-5 |
| Home | 13-4 | 8-3 |
| Away | 0-10 | 4-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 68.0 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#63) | -1.5 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#61) | 0.08 (#117) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#57) | -0.06 (#122) |
| RPI | 1.000 (#1) | 0.750 (#13) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 44.5 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.6% | 31.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.6% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.6% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 79.5% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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