I'll write on your tombstone, "I thank you for dinner." "Bungle in the Jungle" - Jethro Tull
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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33–19 on winners spread MAE 8.9 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Baylor @ St. John's -1.8 148.6 46% 99–98 ✓
Bryant @ Stonehill -1.6 145.9 42% 66–67 ✗
NJIT @ Bucknell +17.1 143.7 89% 64–81 ✓
Niagara @ Kent State +13.0 140.7 86% 73–76 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Oakland +4.6 125.9 56% 68–64 ✗
Mercer @ South Carolina +17.3 147.2 89% 72–84 ✓
Syracuse @ Texas +13.1 155.8 87% 66–70 ✓
Radford @ Clemson +16.1 150.2 87% 51–79 ✓
Presbyterian @ Stephen F. Austin +6.8 132.5 68% 58–55 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Central Arkansas +3.2 144.7 52% 77–73 ✗
East Texas A&M @ Oklahoma +19.1 142.7 89% 56–84 ✓
Lindenwood @ Valparaiso +4.6 146.0 69% 64–77 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Sacred Heart -0.3 139.6 53% 54–67 ✗
UT Martin @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +0.8 147.2 49% 77–81 ✓
Princeton @ Wright State +0.6 145.0 47% 62–80 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Ole Miss +19.9 145.3 88% 68–100 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Nevada +3.0 148.8 58% 73–71 ✗
Tarleton State @ Michigan +39.1 144.1 91% 49–72 ✓
Grambling @ New Mexico +12.1 146.0 86% 58–80 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Washington State +6.9 152.6 77% 81–96 ✓
Texas Tech @ Saint Joseph's -9.7 146.9 20% 77–78 ✗
Memphis @ San Francisco +8.6 146.2 72% 68–64 ✗
Oregon @ Oregon State +4.7 132.6 52% 78–75 ✗
Air Force @ California +18.9 136.0 89% 69–78 ✓
Virginia @ Tennessee +15.3 132.8 88% 42–64 ✓
La Salle @ UIC -2.2 152.7 35% 83–96 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ Florida Gulf Coast +2.4 137.4 60% 54–74 ✓
Ohio @ Portland -4.1 147.0 33% 85–73 ✓
Drake @ Florida Atlantic +2.9 152.6 53% 75–63 ✗
Longwood @ UAB -1.8 138.2 39% 89–81 ✓
East Carolina @ Stetson -5.9 144.3 22% 71–64 ✓
Northeastern @ Florida International -5.1 146.6 33% 60–58 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ South Florida -2.2 145.8 43% 95–88 ✓
Miami @ Oklahoma State -0.2 154.0 48% 74–80 ✗
LSU @ Pittsburgh +11.3 143.7 83% 63–74 ✓
Illinois State @ McNeese -1.0 133.2 53% 68–76 ✗
Presbyterian @ Youngstown State +2.2 147.0 58% 67–42 ✗
James Madison @ UC San Diego -2.0 146.4 41% 67–73 ✗
Kansas City @ American University -0.4 133.0 55% 60–64 ✗
UCF @ Wisconsin +2.7 145.8 58% 70–86 ✓
Bradley @ Wright State -1.4 150.1 39% 77–74 ✓
Seton Hall @ Vanderbilt +2.6 134.0 67% 60–76 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Wofford -7.3 139.2 21% 73–81 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Coastal Carolina -0.2 134.4 48% 57–71 ✗
Temple @ Florida State +0.8 145.0 48% 69–78 ✓
Utah Tech @ Utah +30.5 153.9 91% 53–84 ✓
Louisiana @ Liberty +23.2 130.3 89% 69–89 ✓
Monmouth @ Stephen F. Austin +11.1 128.6 80% 67–72 ✓
UT Martin @ Le Moyne -6.9 140.3 29% 53–65 ✗
Lamar @ Akron +10.3 151.3 81% 72–79 ✓
Campbell @ Ohio State +22.0 133.3 89% 60–104 ✓
Toledo @ Jacksonville State -3.7 152.2 33% 82–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.