Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -25.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | UTAH -100000 UTU +4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +31 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -29.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.6 (-26.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -28.0 (+3.0) | 153.8 (-16.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -30.5 (+0.5) | 153.9 (-16.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -25.0 (+6.0) | 151.6 (-14.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -26.3 (+4.7) | 152.9 (-15.9) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 7-26 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 2-14 |
| Home | 15-4 | 5-8 |
| Away | 1-9 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 68.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 11.0 (#36) | -12.0 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.00 (#187) | -1.99 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#192) | -2.93 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#216) | 0.405 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 33.5% |
| 3PT% | 41.8% | 21.7% |
| REB / G | 45.0 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.7% | 38.6% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 12.8% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 30.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.5% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 60.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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