Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | FGCU -275 CSUB +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +20 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -4.3 (+15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (-14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -2.2 (+17.8) | 136.7 (-8.7) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -2.4 (+17.6) | 137.4 (-9.4) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -2.4 (+17.6) | 137.9 (-9.9) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -1.4 (+18.6) | 135.5 (-7.5) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#189) | 1.5 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#309) | 0.77 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.50 (#297) | 1.25 (#123) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#278) | 0.573 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 27.7% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 14.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 21.9% | 40.2% |
| FT Rate | 12.3% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 38.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.