He just grinned and shook my hand, "No" was all he said. "The Weight" - The Band
Vanderbilt Commodores
76 60
FINAL Neutral Shriners Children’s Charleston Classic
Seton Hall Pirates
TD Arena (Neutral) · November 22, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread VAN -5.5 Home covered
O/U 134.5 Over
Money VAN -230 / HALL +195
Model Predictions
Spread Total VAN win
Actual VAN +16 136 Won
Massey VAN -3.6 (+12.4)
Massey Totals 132.2 (+3.8)
Bradley-Terry 89%
Weighted B-T 96%
Baseline Plus ML VAN -3.9 (+12.1) 138.1 (-2.1) 75%
Baseline ML VAN -2.6 (+13.4) 134.0 (+2.0) 67%
Baseline Tuned ML VAN -4.7 (+11.3) 133.5 (+2.5) 76%
Efficiency Plus ML VAN -4.3 (+11.7) 132.0 (+4.0) 71%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings VAN HALL
Overall 20-13 7-25
Conference 8-10 2-18
Home 14-3 5-11
Away 3-7 0-11
Neutral 3-3 2-3
Last 5 5-0 3-2
Streak L4 L7
Avg Pts For 78.9 61.6
Avg Pts Against 74.3 70.2
Massey 5.7 (#86) 2.1 (#134)
Bradley-Terry 2.24 (#29) 0.14 (#181)
W. Bradley-Terry 4.14 (#17) 1.00 (#142)
RPI 0.545 (#121) 0.513 (#160)
Shooting & Four Factors VAN HALL
FG% 48.1% 39.2%
3PT% 27.9% 40.0%
REB / G 41.8 36.4
OREB / G 13.0 10.6
AST / TO 2.63 0.74
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.5% 45.3%
TOV% 9.2% 23.2%
ORB% 32.3% 31.9%
FT Rate 27.6% 25.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.6% 40.7%
Opp TOV% 19.3% 24.0%
DRB% 77.2% 75.4%
Opp FT Rate 24.9% 21.5%

Game Analysis

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