Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | SC -4000 MER +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +12 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | SC -19.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.2 (+4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -16.9 (-4.9) | 146.2 (+9.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SC -17.3 (-5.3) | 147.2 (+8.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -15.2 (-3.2) | 146.6 (+9.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -16.4 (-4.4) | 148.3 (+7.7) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | MER |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-8 | 7-6 |
| Away | 1-10 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#93) | -7.5 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#238) | -1.28 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#223) | -1.86 (#273) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#221) | 0.389 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | MER |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.