Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | TENN -900 UVA +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +22 | 106 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -19.7 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.7 (-25.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -16.9 (+5.1) | 127.2 (-21.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -15.3 (+6.7) | 132.8 (-26.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -16.1 (+5.9) | 130.5 (-24.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -14.8 (+7.2) | 123.7 (-17.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 22, 2026 | TENN 79 – 72 UVA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | UVA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-8 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-12 |
| Home | 16-1 | 10-7 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.1 | 66.8 |
| Massey | 21.1 (#6) | 1.4 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.88 (#11) | 1.31 (#80) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.59 (#11) | 1.81 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.692 (#20) | 0.567 (#95) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | UVA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 58.1% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 41.6% | 44.6% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 4.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 65.4% | 59.1% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 39.2% | 16.5% |
| FT Rate | 31.3% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.1% | 41.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 78.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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