Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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20–6 on winners spread MAE 10.6 26 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Central Arkansas @ Oklahoma +27.7 147.7 91% 72–88 ✓
Oakland @ Cleveland State +1.8 144.8 63% 67–75 ✓
Coppin State @ Maryland +25.6 129.9 91% 53–75 ✓
UAlbany @ Long Island University -10.1 147.2 17% 86–69 ✓
Sam Houston @ Texas Tech +15.7 142.5 88% 60–96 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ UTSA +2.0 148.6 67% 89–103 ✓
UT Martin @ Tennessee State +3.1 156.6 68% 91–75 ✗
Little Rock @ Tennessee Tech +0.9 149.8 53% 81–75 ✗
USC @ Oregon +4.9 148.8 73% 74–82 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Davis -0.8 144.2 45% 62–76 ✗
Montana @ Weber State +3.8 132.8 68% 63–93 ✓
Montana State @ Idaho State +2.1 137.5 57% 74–66 ✗
Sacramento State @ Idaho +6.0 140.6 74% 58–61 ✓
Portland State @ Eastern Washington +0.2 143.9 54% 57–91 ✓
UCLA @ Oregon State +1.2 134.0 58% 69–62 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Cal Poly -2.8 142.5 43% 83–73 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC San Diego +8.9 134.3 80% 64–76 ✓
Long Beach State @ Cal State Fullerton -1.1 143.2 46% 81–71 ✓
UC Riverside @ UC Irvine +15.9 140.5 87% 66–73 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ IU Indianapolis +0.5 140.2 44% 55–67 ✓
Wright State @ Green Bay -0.9 147.3 48% 77–88 ✗
Rider @ Penn State +12.2 150.2 85% 63–90 ✓
Valparaiso @ Elon +6.2 139.9 72% 78–82 ✓
North Florida @ Miami +24.7 151.2 90% 55–95 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Indiana +8.4 162.1 80% 87–100 ✓
Brown @ Stony Brook +4.4 143.5 69% 65–69 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.