I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
← All models

Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
17–7 on winners spread MAE 10.9 24 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
NC State @ Louisville +5.0 164.7 68% 77–118 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Indiana State -1.8 151.4 44% 80–65 ✓
Texas Southern @ Bethune-Cookman +8.5 155.3 78% 69–79 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Florida A&M +2.0 149.5 57% 96–100 ✓
Yale @ Howard -9.9 149.6 18% 87–81 ✓
Incarnate Word @ SE Louisiana +0.9 138.6 53% 62–74 ✓
Northwestern State @ Lamar +9.5 139.8 81% 70–68 ✗
Central Arkansas @ North Alabama -10.6 148.7 17% 72–65 ✓
Valparaiso @ Drake +2.6 144.5 59% 81–76 ✗
Alabama A&M @ Grambling +6.8 134.9 73% 66–58 ✗
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Nicholls -3.4 147.1 38% 92–72 ✓
Houston Christian @ McNeese +19.1 142.4 96% 69–73 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Stephen F. Austin +17.8 140.5 95% 70–74 ✓
Delaware State @ North Carolina Central +7.4 133.6 75% 63–72 ✓
Illinois State @ Evansville -13.3 137.3 11% 80–88 ✗
Belmont @ Bradley -4.3 159.1 35% 84–95 ✗
Alcorn State @ Mississippi Valley State -5.6 147.1 30% 74–66 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Charleston -0.7 146.5 47% 76–64 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ New Orleans +1.0 147.8 54% 78–84 ✓
Oregon @ Indiana +12.6 148.2 87% 74–92 ✓
Arizona @ Kansas -2.5 150.0 41% 78–82 ✗
Alabama State @ Southern +7.2 159.2 74% 68–69 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Murray State +4.1 142.3 64% 89–60 ✗
Milwaukee @ IU Indianapolis -0.9 168.6 47% 92–88 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.