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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–0 on winners
spread MAE 7.9
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saint Francis
@
Chicago State
|
+4.6 | 152.9 | 66% | 75–80 | ✓ |
Navy
@
Bucknell
|
-8.5 | 136.0 | 22% | 76–60 | ✓ |
Xavier
@
St. John's
|
+17.5 | 161.0 | 94% | 82–87 | ✓ |
Jackson State
@
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
|
+9.6 | 162.7 | 81% | 63–84 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.