Then she opened up a book of poems and handed it to me, written by an Italian poet from the thirteenth century. "Tangled Up in Blue" - Bob Dylan
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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20–6 on winners spread MAE 11.0 26 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Minnesota @ Purdue +15.1 136.9 89% 57–85 ✓
New Haven @ NJIT -0.4 128.6 47% 64–70 ✗
Charleston @ South Florida +12.9 152.9 87% 75–81 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Marshall +2.4 154.4 59% 61–77 ✓
New Mexico @ VCU +10.0 150.1 82% 81–78 ✗
Maine @ Boston University +7.3 129.9 72% 69–59 ✗
Bryant @ Iona +7.8 146.3 82% 63–69 ✓
Idaho @ Notre Dame +12.3 143.7 84% 65–80 ✓
Liberty @ NC State +9.8 152.0 82% 45–85 ✓
Massachusetts @ Boston College +0.9 135.0 53% 76–74 ✗
Colgate @ St. Bonaventure +10.8 143.4 83% 77–85 ✓
Delaware @ George Washington +21.0 152.3 90% 70–58 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Fordham +9.9 135.3 84% 54–75 ✓
Jackson State @ Houston +27.8 138.1 91% 38–80 ✓
UT Martin @ Southern Illinois +3.8 144.8 71% 54–83 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Eastern Illinois -0.4 144.3 43% 68–59 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Tulsa +22.0 152.5 91% 84–117 ✓
Weber State @ Kansas City -6.4 148.3 23% 64–60 ✓
Idaho State @ Utah Valley +10.6 141.1 82% 69–73 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Purdue Fort Wayne +1.6 144.0 59% 65–80 ✓
Southern @ Texas State +4.2 143.1 61% 83–86 ✓
Wisconsin @ Nebraska +4.5 159.2 70% 60–90 ✓
Duquesne @ Boise State +17.2 143.9 89% 64–86 ✓
Lamar @ San Diego State +13.7 133.8 84% 71–89 ✓
Fresno State @ Cal State Northridge +0.1 147.2 56% 87–89 ✓
Green Bay @ IU Indianapolis +1.5 152.9 54% 85–75 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.