Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | KC +245 WEB -305 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +4 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | WEB -8.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.1 (-30.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -6.4 (+2.4) | 148.3 (-24.3) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -6.6 (+2.6) | 144.6 (-20.6) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -5.9 (+1.9) | 146.8 (-22.8) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -7.1 (+3.1) | 149.8 (-25.8) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2025 | WEB 82 – 61 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-27 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 10-8 |
| Home | 3-11 | 11-5 |
| Away | 1-15 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L15 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.8 | 79.1 |
| Massey | -12.9 (#338) | -0.2 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.18 (#348) | -0.72 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.65 (#350) | -0.52 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.333 (#358) | 0.438 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 23.6% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 61.2% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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