Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | UVU -550 IDST +410 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +4 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -11.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -10.6 (-6.6) | 141.1 (+0.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -11.6 (-7.6) | 139.6 (+2.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -11.4 (-7.4) | 140.4 (+1.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -10.5 (-6.5) | 138.3 (+3.7) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2024 | UVU 70 – 56 IDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 5-13 |
| Home | 15-1 | 8-6 |
| Away | 6-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 11.0 (#51) | 4.3 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#110) | 0.44 (#147) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.03 (#78) | 0.74 (#136) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#60) | 0.506 (#165) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.7% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 36.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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