Betting Lines
| Spread | IDST -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | IDST -110 UVU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +14 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | IDST -5.2 (-19.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (-11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDST -2.6 (-16.6) | 135.4 (-9.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDST -2.9 (-16.9) | 139.2 (-13.2) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IDST -3.6 (-17.6) | 139.1 (-13.1) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDST -3.4 (-17.4) | 137.9 (-11.9) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2025 | UVU 73 – 69 IDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDST | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 15-1 |
| Home | 10-4 | 12-0 |
| Away | 5-10 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 68.9 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#139) | 0.4 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#264) | -0.31 (#200) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#225) | -0.62 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#232) | 0.493 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDST | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 40.1 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 15.4 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.1% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 41.9% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.