Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | VCU -410 UNM +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNM +3 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -11.0 (-14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -10.0 (-13.0) | 150.1 (+8.9) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -11.3 (-14.3) | 147.8 (+11.2) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -11.3 (-14.3) | 149.4 (+9.6) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -11.1 (-14.1) | 150.1 (+8.9) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2024 | UNM 78 – 71 VCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 13-7 |
| Home | 15-2 | 17-3 |
| Away | 7-3 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.8 | 80.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 13.4 (#31) | 7.2 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#46) | 1.75 (#62) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.59 (#31) | 2.66 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#63) | 0.619 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 32.7% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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