Betting Lines
| Spread | NHVN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | NJIT +120 NHVN -142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NJIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NJIT +6 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | NJIT -0.6 (+5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.4 (+4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NHVN -0.4 (+6.4) | 128.6 (+5.4) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NJIT -1.8 (+4.2) | 132.0 (+2.0) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NJIT -1.3 (+4.7) | 130.0 (+4.0) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NJIT -1.6 (+4.4) | 130.6 (+3.4) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NJIT | NHVN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 8-11 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 61.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -13.8 (#345) | -9.7 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#277) | -1.07 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.01 (#289) | -1.77 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#277) | 0.490 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NJIT | NHVN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.7% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 26.1% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 21.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 63.2% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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