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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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17–9 on winners spread MAE 7.3 26 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
North Carolina @ Florida State	-1.7	154.0	34%	96–85	✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Prairie View A&M	+16.3	135.2	89%	56–64	✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Alabama State	+1.1	143.5	57%	70–68	✗
Bellarmine @ Stetson	+1.6	149.4	61%	67–69	✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ McNeese	+17.1	146.2	89%	65–100	✓
Northwestern State @ SE Louisiana	+6.1	132.6	74%	72–69	✗
Northeastern @ Monmouth	+0.5	141.0	60%	73–78	✓
Queens University @ West Georgia	-4.7	149.5	31%	72–57	✓
North Florida @ Florida Gulf Coast	+5.7	155.6	76%	82–86	✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Jacksonville	+2.3	146.4	60%	55–59	✓
Lipscomb @ Austin Peay	-7.6	143.3	25%	95–78	✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Nicholls	+2.9	145.3	69%	69–71	✓
East Texas A&M @ New Orleans	+1.5	142.6	52%	73–71	✗
Lamar @ Incarnate Word	-1.4	131.8	41%	61–73	✗
North Alabama @ Central Arkansas	-10.5	150.9	19%	93–70	✓
North Carolina Central @ Delaware State	+2.9	151.1	64%	84–86	✓
Michigan @ Nebraska	-0.5	146.5	50%	49–46	✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Texas Southern	+13.4	148.3	87%	56–81	✓
Morgan State @ Norfolk State	+12.3	155.0	87%	60–69	✓
South Carolina State @ Maryland Eastern Shore	-12.0	141.9	13%	81–68	✓
Howard @ Coppin State	-7.6	141.3	25%	61–72	✗
Florida A&M @ Alabama A&M	-1.5	143.2	43%	66–77	✗
Stephen F. Austin @ Houston Christian	-1.0	133.4	40%	56–72	✗
Houston @ Texas Tech	+0.2	133.8	43%	69–61	✗
Kansas @ Colorado	-6.1	141.4	36%	71–64	✓
Bowling Green @ Eastern Michigan	+1.6	146.0	61%	65–60	✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.