Hallelujah, here she comes. "Skateaway" - Dire Straits
Atlantic Sun Conference · The Coliseum · February 25, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread QUC -8.5 Away covered
O/U 152.5 Under
Money WGA +340 / QUC -450
Model Predictions
Spread Total WGA win
Actual QUC +15 129 Lost
Massey QUC -5.8 (-9.2)
Massey Totals 151.4 (-22.4)
Bradley-Terry 16%
Weighted B-T 15%
Efficiency Plus ML QUC -4.7 (-10.3) 149.5 (-20.5) 31%
Baseline Tuned ML QUC -6.0 (-9.0) 149.2 (-20.2) 26%
Baseline ML QUC -5.6 (-9.4) 151.8 (-22.8) 28%
Baseline Plus ML QUC -4.8 (-10.2) 151.5 (-22.5) 31%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 7, 2026 QUC 7163 WGA
Feb 21, 2026 QUC 9184 WGA
Jan 24, 2026 WGA 7466 QUC
Feb 1, 2025 QUC 8768 WGA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WGA QUC
Overall 6-25 20-15
Conference 4-14 11-7
Home 4-8 9-5
Away 2-15 9-9
Neutral 0-2 2-1
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak W1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.8 75.9
Avg Pts Against 78.8 76.3
Massey -12.6 (#343) -3.7 (#226)
Bradley-Terry -2.55 (#350) -0.33 (#204)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.08 (#348) -0.69 (#224)
RPI 0.397 (#344) 0.483 (#211)
Shooting & Four Factors WGA QUC
FG% 43.0% 44.9%
3PT% 30.3% 34.4%
REB / G 32.2 36.6
OREB / G 9.4 11.0
AST / TO 1.11 1.22
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.6% 52.6%
TOV% 16.6% 18.6%
ORB% 25.9% 30.7%
FT Rate 19.5% 22.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.8% 51.9%
Opp TOV% 16.8% 15.9%
DRB% 70.6% 70.9%
Opp FT Rate 25.7% 21.6%

Game Analysis

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