Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | QUC -750 WGA +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +19 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | QUC -11.3 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (+7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -9.0 (+10.0) | 148.5 (+6.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUC -10.1 (+8.9) | 147.6 (+7.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -9.6 (+9.4) | 148.1 (+6.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUC -9.6 (+9.4) | 149.2 (+5.8) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | QUC 71 – 63 WGA |
| Feb 21, 2026 | QUC 91 – 84 WGA |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WGA 74 – 66 QUC |
| Feb 25, 2025 | QUC 72 – 57 WGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUC | WGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-5 | 4-8 |
| Away | 9-9 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 78.8 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#213) | -11.2 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#175) | -2.35 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#198) | -2.83 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#173) | 0.397 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUC | WGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 56.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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