Tire tracks all across your back - I can see you've had your fun. "Crosstown Traffic"- Jimi Hendrix
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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22–5 on winners spread MAE 12.0 27 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
VCU @ NC State +15.3 161.9 87% 79–85 ✓
Drake @ Charleston +6.7 143.2 72% 71–62 ✗
West Georgia @ Tennessee Tech +11.1 142.9 85% 61–59 ✗
Oakland @ UCF +17.6 157.5 90% 83–87 ✓
Colgate @ Siena +10.0 134.8 81% 72–69 ✗
Lafayette @ West Virginia +20.6 137.8 91% 59–81 ✓
Niagara @ Le Moyne +1.9 134.2 55% 68–74 ✓
Canisius @ High Point +16.0 142.7 89% 50–93 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Pennsylvania +3.0 144.0 62% 74–83 ✓
Bucknell @ Pittsburgh +8.0 134.0 77% 50–84 ✓
Lamar @ UL Monroe -0.1 143.1 52% 79–66 ✓
Stonehill @ Iowa State +23.4 141.7 91% 57–96 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Wisconsin +14.6 136.2 86% 69–94 ✓
Southern Illinois @ North Dakota State +4.3 148.3 68% 85–92 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Missouri +23.5 154.5 91% 73–91 ✓
Tulsa @ Kansas State +6.9 155.7 69% 83–84 ✓
Rice @ Tennessee +16.9 138.4 88% 66–91 ✓
Southern Utah @ Gonzaga +25.2 144.7 91% 50–122 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ UC Santa Barbara +4.8 143.3 66% 78–74 ✗
Alabama State @ Colorado +6.4 155.3 75% 66–94 ✓
Georgia State @ Arizona State +11.9 134.4 85% 62–75 ✓
North Alabama @ Clemson +26.0 144.2 91% 61–81 ✓
Oregon State @ Oregon +8.0 133.0 75% 75–87 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Portland State +6.4 140.2 73% 80–93 ✓
Michigan State @ Kentucky +12.3 143.1 86% 83–66 ✗
American University @ Rutgers +15.6 148.6 88% 71–80 ✓
Vermont @ Buffalo +5.7 148.8 65% 90–94 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.