Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -25.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | CLEM -20000 UNA +3500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +20 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -34.8 (-14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (-5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -24.5 (-4.5) | 143.6 (-1.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -26.0 (-6.0) | 144.2 (-2.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -32.4 (-12.4) | 145.6 (-3.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -33.3 (-13.3) | 145.2 (-3.2) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 4-14 |
| Home | 13-3 | 5-8 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 78.0 |
| Massey | 16.1 (#12) | -11.6 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#125) | -2.00 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#122) | -3.25 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#204) | 0.305 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.96 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 8.9% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.1% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 11.7% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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