Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -24.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | WVU -100000 LAF +4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +22 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -27.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (-6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -23.9 (-1.9) | 138.1 (+1.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -20.6 (+1.4) | 137.8 (+2.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -28.4 (-6.4) | 135.3 (+4.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -30.1 (-8.1) | 136.6 (+3.4) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-3 | 6-10 |
| Away | 3-6 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Streak | W3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 75.4 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#79) | -13.7 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.88 (#47) | -2.78 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.13 (#34) | -4.62 (#355) |
| RPI | 0.681 (#32) | 0.273 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 35.7% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.5% | 57.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 12.6% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 59.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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