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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–2 on winners
spread MAE 8.9
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Illinois State
@
Long Beach State
|
-0.2 | 132.9 | 46% | 82–80 | ✓ |
Akron
@
Purdue
|
+6.8 | 149.6 | 73% | 79–97 | ✓ |
Troy
@
Cal State Northridge
|
-2.3 | 149.7 | 37% | 85–94 | ✗ |
Miami
@
Florida
|
-2.0 | 150.3 | 43% | 68–82 | ✗ |
Florida A&M
@
Georgia
|
+25.7 | 154.7 | 91% | 57–87 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.