Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -25.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | WIS -20000 SIUE +3000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +25 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -17.8 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.9 (+32.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -15.8 (+9.2) | 136.6 (+26.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | WIS -17.8 (+7.2) | 135.7 (+27.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | WIS -14.6 (+10.4) | 136.2 (+26.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -14.8 (+10.2) | 128.7 (+34.3) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 12-8 |
| Home | 15-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.0 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 65.9 |
| Massey | 12.3 (#26) | 1.7 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#100) | 0.76 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#99) | 0.63 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.648 (#45) | 0.444 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 43.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.61 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.9% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 42.2% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 15.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 40.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.4% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 77.4% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.3% | 15.7% |
Game Analysis
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