Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | RUTG -3000 AMER +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +9 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | RUTG -18.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.7 (-7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -17.9 (-8.9) | 142.8 (+8.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -15.6 (-6.6) | 148.6 (+2.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -17.3 (-8.3) | 148.7 (+2.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -17.4 (-8.4) | 144.8 (+6.2) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-20 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-7 | 11-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#111) | -7.7 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#110) | -0.33 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.46 (#114) | -0.42 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#219) | 0.448 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 44.0% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 33.1% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.2% | 57.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 39.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.