The black queen chants the funeral march, the cracked brass bells will ring / To summon back the fire witch to the court of the crimson king "The Court of the Crimson King" - King Crimson
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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19–4 on winners spread MAE 8.8 23 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Western Carolina @ East Tennessee State +7.1 149.7 79% 69–87 ✓
Bucknell @ Loyola Maryland +7.8 145.7 79% 67–71 ✓
Holy Cross @ Lehigh +4.2 136.7 65% 69–77 ✓
Boston University @ American University -6.5 137.7 28% 79–53 ✓
Navy @ Lafayette -10.3 136.2 16% 69–55 ✓
UIC @ IU Indianapolis -9.0 125.9 18% 67–65 ✓
Southern @ Bethune-Cookman -5.2 134.4 26% 69–59 ✓
Grambling @ Florida A&M +0.9 134.7 53% 66–75 ✓
Omaha @ Kansas City +10.3 141.2 86% 61–64 ✓
South Dakota @ North Dakota -4.3 146.5 28% 75–68 ✓
Jackson State @ Alabama A&M -2.1 123.3 41% 58–60 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Texas Southern +16.9 145.7 91% 58–95 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Prairie View A&M +2.6 151.8 60% 58–75 ✓
Alcorn State @ Alabama State -0.2 141.5 52% 70–60 ✓
North Dakota State @ Denver -0.9 142.0 43% 87–69 ✓
Oregon @ Oregon State -3.5 145.9 36% 78–76 ✓
San Diego @ Pepperdine +1.2 139.4 56% 72–62 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Canisius -1.9 146.0 45% 67–79 ✗
Iona @ Fairfield -5.2 141.0 27% 80–76 ✓
USC @ Stanford -6.3 140.1 28% 69–75 ✗
Hofstra @ Towson +5.7 146.7 73% 66–78 ✓
South Carolina @ Tennessee +12.6 143.4 87% 46–66 ✓
Rutgers @ Penn State +4.6 133.3 67% 49–66 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.