Betting Lines
| Spread | FAMU -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | FAMU -140 GRAM +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +9 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | FAMU -4.8 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (+7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAMU -2.5 (+6.5) | 135.9 (+5.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAMU -0.9 (+8.1) | 134.7 (+6.3) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAMU -1.3 (+7.7) | 133.6 (+7.4) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAMU -1.9 (+7.1) | 135.3 (+5.7) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | FAMU 66 – 59 GRAM |
| Jan 13, 2026 | FAMU 91 – 84 GRAM |
| Mar 1, 2025 | FAMU 73 – 68 GRAM |
| Jan 14, 2025 | GRAM 79 – 72 FAMU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | GRAM 75 – 68 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-17 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-4 | 7-4 |
| Away | 5-12 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.6 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -9.5 (#312) | -10.5 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.49 (#350) | -1.73 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.67 (#350) | -2.41 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.369 (#341) | 0.446 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.6% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 21.9% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.2% | 43.2% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 63.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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