Betting Lines
| Spread | L-MD -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | L-MD -260 BUCK +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | L-MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | L-MD +4 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | L-MD -9.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | L-MD -7.9 (-3.9) | 145.8 (-7.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | L-MD -7.8 (-3.8) | 145.7 (-7.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | L-MD -7.4 (-3.4) | 146.2 (-8.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | L-MD -8.1 (-4.1) | 146.4 (-8.4) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | L-MD 67 – 62 BUCK |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BUCK 70 – 67 L-MD |
| Mar 7, 2025 | BUCK 76 – 72 L-MD |
| Feb 27, 2025 | BUCK 70 – 67 L-MD |
| Jan 30, 2025 | BUCK 79 – 67 L-MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | L-MD | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-3 | 7-6 |
| Away | 3-12 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 79.4 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#243) | -9.8 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#206) | -2.10 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#225) | -2.56 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#216) | 0.389 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | L-MD | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 12.9% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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