Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
| Money | LEH -270 HC +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +8 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | LEH -7.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (+7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -3.2 (+4.8) | 135.2 (+10.8) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -4.2 (+3.8) | 136.7 (+9.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -4.5 (+3.5) | 136.8 (+9.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -4.2 (+3.8) | 137.6 (+8.4) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | LEH 69 – 66 HC |
| Feb 7, 2026 | HC 76 – 67 LEH |
| Jan 7, 2026 | LEH 66 – 58 HC |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LEH 72 – 60 HC |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LEH 69 – 67 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-7 | 5-9 |
| Away | 4-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#329) | -14.7 (#348) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.49 (#336) | -3.21 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.74 (#340) | -4.09 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.367 (#343) | 0.330 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 21.8% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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