Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
| Money | TXSO -4000 MVSU +1500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +37 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | TXSO -24.1 (+12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -18.5 (+18.5) | 146.2 (+6.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -16.9 (+20.1) | 145.7 (+7.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -20.8 (+16.2) | 144.3 (+8.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -20.9 (+16.1) | 145.2 (+7.8) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | MVSU 72 – 71 TXSO |
| Jan 13, 2026 | TXSO 84 – 51 MVSU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | TXSO 79 – 38 MVSU |
| Jan 14, 2025 | TXSO 82 – 53 MVSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | TXSO 73 – 52 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 2-26 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 2-16 |
| Home | 7-2 | 0-11 |
| Away | 8-10 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 83.0 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#183) | -20.7 (#358) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#183) | -3.41 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#176) | -4.82 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#164) | 0.382 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 36.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 41.6% |
| TOV% | 23.4% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 60.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 64.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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