Betting Lines
| Spread | PEPP -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PEPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USD +10 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | PEPP -0.9 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PEPP -1.7 (-11.7) | 139.0 (-5.0) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PEPP -1.2 (-11.2) | 139.4 (-5.4) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PEPP -0.7 (-10.7) | 140.9 (-6.9) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PEPP -0.8 (-10.8) | 138.1 (-4.1) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | USD 92 – 88 PEPP |
| Jan 9, 2026 | USD 83 – 63 PEPP |
| Feb 14, 2025 | PEPP 88 – 81 USD |
| Jan 31, 2025 | PEPP 98 – 90 USD |
| Mar 9, 2024 | USD 57 – 52 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PEPP | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 7-9 |
| Home | 7-9 | 8-6 |
| Away | 0-13 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.8 | 68.7 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#260) | -2.2 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#236) | -0.43 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#233) | -0.09 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#246) | 0.473 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PEPP | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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