Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAIR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +4 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -4.7 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (+14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -4.9 (+0.9) | 139.2 (+16.8) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -5.2 (+1.2) | 141.0 (+15.0) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -4.7 (+0.7) | 142.0 (+14.0) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -4.4 (+0.4) | 142.0 (+14.0) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | FAIR 71 – 70 IONA |
| Feb 2, 2025 | IONA 87 – 64 FAIR |
| Jan 11, 2025 | FAIR 68 – 64 IONA |
| Mar 14, 2024 | FAIR 68 – 63 IONA |
| Feb 3, 2024 | IONA 91 – 82 FAIR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAIR | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 17-3 |
| Home | 6-9 | 13-0 |
| Away | 8-8 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 68.6 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#172) | 8.2 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#218) | 2.29 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#224) | 3.19 (#34) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#227) | 0.624 (#25) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAIR | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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