Betting Lines
| Spread | PSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PSU +17 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | PSU -5.8 (+11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PSU -4.9 (+12.1) | 133.1 (-18.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PSU -4.6 (+12.4) | 133.3 (-18.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PSU -5.0 (+12.0) | 134.8 (-19.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PSU -4.3 (+12.7) | 133.1 (-18.1) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | RUTG 74 – 62 PSU |
| Feb 18, 2026 | RUTG 85 – 72 PSU |
| Jan 20, 2025 | PSU 80 – 72 RUTG |
| Dec 11, 2024 | RUTG 80 – 76 PSU |
| Feb 1, 2024 | PSU 61 – 46 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PSU | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 14-3 |
| Away | 1-10 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.6 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.0 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#95) | 3.6 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#74) | 0.81 (#107) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.65 (#79) | 1.64 (#80) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#55) | 0.522 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PSU | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.9% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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