We're only making plans for Nigel. "Making Plans for Nigel" - XTC
Metro Conference · Koessler Athletic Center · January 11, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -1.0 Home covered
O/U 149.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total CAN win
Actual CAN +12 146 Won
Massey QUIN -0.8 (+12.8) — —
Massey Totals — 147.0 (-1.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 55% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 37% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CAN -0.1 (+11.9) 147.0 (-1.0) 52% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -1.9 (+13.9) 146.0 (-0.0) 45% ✗
Baseline ML QUIN -2.0 (+14.0) 148.5 (-2.5) 42% ✗
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -1.3 (+13.3) 147.0 (-1.0) 47% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 1, 2026 QUIN 67 – 63 CAN
Feb 6, 2026 QUIN 75 – 60 CAN
Feb 7, 2025 QUIN 89 – 71 CAN
Mar 13, 2024 QUIN 76 – 52 CAN
Feb 4, 2024 QUIN 88 – 63 CAN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CAN QUIN
Overall 11-21 14-17
Conference 7-13 7-13
Home 9-5 8-7
Away 1-15 4-9
Neutral 1-1 2-1
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.3 70.8
Avg Pts Against 72.5 72.1
Massey -7.9 (#299) -3.3 (#235)
Bradley-Terry -1.32 (#285) -0.83 (#252)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.43 (#315) -1.17 (#256)
RPI 0.448 (#268) 0.413 (#307)
Shooting & Four Factors CAN QUIN
FG% 37.8% 43.7%
3PT% 30.4% 33.7%
REB / G 33.9 33.7
OREB / G 11.2 9.8
AST / TO 1.11 0.93
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.1% 51.5%
TOV% 16.2% 19.9%
ORB% 27.3% 29.4%
FT Rate 20.8% 19.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.9% 50.6%
Opp TOV% 18.7% 19.8%
DRB% 70.7% 71.7%
Opp FT Rate 22.5% 21.8%

Game Analysis

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